The nation’s most prominent liberal blogger, Matthew Yglesias of The Atlantic Monthly, has just reprinted this chart from the Gallup Poll demonstrating that the GOP has a huge seven percent lead in the 2010 generic ballot between Republicans and Democrats. His only comment was, “This means House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH)”. Yglesias reaction is not an exaggeration. This is the biggest generic ballot lead for the Republican Party in history.
The GOP now has a 50% to 43% lead, and this is the first time in 60 years Republicans have hit the midway mark. They came close in October of 1994 but never made it to 50%. The Gallup data is supported by every major polling firm. According to the Rasmussen polling firm, the results are even better than what Gallup is reporting:
Republican candidates have jumped out to a record-setting 12-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, August 15, 2010. This is the biggest lead the GOP has held in over a decade of Rasmussen Reports surveying. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 48% of Likely Voters would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 36% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.
Support for Republicans is up two points from the previous week, while support for Democrats dropped three points.Republicans have led on the Generic Congressional Ballot since June of last year, and their lead hasn’t fallen below five points since the beginning of December. . . Support for repeal of the health care reform bill is at 60%, its highest level in over a month, while the number of voters who believe repeal will be good for the economy has reached a new high.
Gallup 2010 Key Indicators: http://www.gallup.com/poll/127439/Election-2010-Key-Indicators.aspx
Congressional Generic Ballot: http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/us-cong-generic-ballot